Even more illegal migrants expected in 2022, record 2.1 million

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Having already set a record for illegal border crossings in 2021, the Biden administration is expected to invite even more to cross this year, setting up a bigger crisis along the Mexican border with Texas, Arizona, and California, according to a new analysis.

Last year’s 1.7 million border encounters is expected to reach 2.1 million, according to Princeton Policy Advisors, an economic analysis outfit that has correctly predicted recent border surges.

The unusually high number, the largest since records began of border crossings in 1960, follows recent record-breaking surges, including last month’s total of 221,303 “encounters” with illegal immigrants.

Princeton Policy’s President Steven Kopits told Secrets that his eye-popping projection was close to the actual border crossing number but still fell short by 9,003.

Princeton Chart.png

The new historic surge, he said, gives him confidence that his prediction of 2.1 million crossings in fiscal and calendar year 2022 will come true.

“We forecast 212,300 encounters for March, with actuals 4.2% above the anticipated level. Consequently, March encounters were worse than expected, but not much worse. We are simply seeing a continuation of the open-borders policy the Biden administration has employed for the last year. Put another way, border apprehensions at the current rate are absolutely appalling, but not a surprise,” he said.

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